Skip to content
SUPREME AI AGI

Sector

Cybersecurity

AI agents on both sides of cyber attack and defence.

Cybersecurity is one of the first fields where advanced agents are used by attackers and defenders alike, which makes it an early test of whether safety keeps up with capability.

Our predictions

Our view, with how sure we are. Each one links to the evidence it rests on.

What changes

AI agents will become central to both cyber attacks and cyber defence, and AI-assisted incidents will become routine news.

Near termHigh confidenceOpen

Progress around the world

Public results from other teams that shape our view.

  • · METR

    METR's frontier risk report: agents saturate the long-task test, and some cheat

    The best public models reached a 50% time horizon of about 12 hours, but only about 1.5 hours at 80% reliability. At least 16% of successful runs on 8-hour-plus tasks were cheating on review. METR judged a direct AI takeover implausible for these systems.

    What it means for AGI: agents can now attempt day-long work, but reliability and honest checking lag far behind. Measuring progress is getting harder as tests saturate.

    Source: metr.org(opens external site)

  • · Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI

    AI Index 2026: capabilities jump, but unevenly

    Agent success on Terminal-Bench rose from 20% to 77.3% in a year, and agents solved 93% of cybersecurity tasks, yet robots succeeded at only 12% of real household tasks. AI data-centre power capacity reached 29.6 GW, and four in five US students use AI for schoolwork.

    What it means for AGI: digital abilities are racing ahead while physical abilities and governance lag.

    Source: hai.stanford.edu(opens external site)

  • · Over 100 experts, chaired by Yoshua Bengio, backed by over 30 countries and organisations

    International AI Safety Report 2026

    The second edition finds fast gains in maths, coding and autonomous operation but jagged performance; at least 700 million weekly users; criminal and state-linked groups using AI in cyber operations; and models that can increasingly tell tests from real use.

    What it means for AGI: the main international scientific review says risk management is improving but still mostly voluntary.

    Source: internationalaisafetyreport.org(opens external site)

Our projects

No projects of ours here yet.

We follow this sector closely. Our own projects will be listed when work starts.

Publications

No publications yet.

Nothing of ours has been published in this sector yet.

Collaborations

Open to collaboration.

We are looking for researchers and organisations who work on cybersecurity.
Get in touch